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Business and Sales · Tabnews · 🇧🇷 Brazil

Discovering the problem wasn't the model, it was the question asked to customers

An entrepreneur improved a demand forecasting model, but only made progress in sales after changing the question asked to customers.

Profession
Entrepreneur, Data Scientist
Tools
Machine learning, Python
Source
tabnews.com.br ↗
Country
🇧🇷 Brazil
Report date
September 9, 2026
Verified on
October 24, 2026
Illustrative photo: Retail sector

What they did

He built a demand forecasting model and went out prospecting for customers.

How it went

The error (WAPE) dropped from 44% to 31%, but 160 direct messages resulted in zero customers. The turning point came when he asked about the customer's pain, not about the model.

Good to know

Validating the problem before the technology saves months.

The prompt

I'm going to interview owners of [type of business]. Write 8 open-ended questions about how they decide on [inventory/purchasing] today, without mentioning my product, and 3 signs that the pain is real.

Replace what is in [brackets]. Prompt written by us from the account, not a literal copy of the source. Do not paste other people’s personal data (privacy laws such as LGPD and GDPR apply).

Summary in our own words. Results as stated in the original account; we have not tested or audited them. Read the source ↗ Found a mistake?

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